Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 07/10, 00:30

Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs Guairena FC

Team pages: Deportivo Santaní · Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Deportivo Santaní1.96

Guairena FC0.78

1X2

64% 22% 13%

Deportivo Santaní Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santaní 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWWW

Guairena FC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santaní 1–3–2 Guairena FC (6 last)

Guairena FC0-2Deportivo Santaní
Guairena FC2-2Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní0-2Guairena FC
Deportivo Santaní2-2Guairena FC
Guairena FC1-1Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní0-1Guairena FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1566 · Guairena FC 1403

	Deportivo Santaní	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	64%	23%	13%
Market	65%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1566 vs 1403).
H2H favours Guairena FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santaní	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.10

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +98’	1.38	4.10	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 1–3–2 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Santaní
05/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní
03/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-2 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
28/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-2 HT 2-0	Guairena FC
21/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Santaní
30/07/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-1	Guairena FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santaní	Guairena FC
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sol de America	3-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	0-0 D
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Tacuary	3-0 W	0-1 L
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Guairena FC

DLLDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
19/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
08/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
05/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (64%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 64%, draw 22%, Guairena FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Deportivo Santaní 1.96 · Guairena FC 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.