Football · England Development League 2 · 23/10, 14:30
Prediction: Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21
Team pages: Charlton U21 · Cardiff U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Charlton U211.67
Cardiff U211.67
1X2
Charlton U21
Draw
Cardiff U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlton U21
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Cardiff U21
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charlton U21
1–1–4
Cardiff U21
(6 last)
- Cardiff U211-0Charlton U21
- Charlton U210-3Cardiff U21
- Charlton U216-1Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U212-0Charlton U21
- Cardiff U212-1Charlton U21
- Charlton U215-5Cardiff U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlton U21 1486 · Cardiff U21 1534
| Charlton U21 | Draw | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 22% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cardiff U21 (rating 1486 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Cardiff U21: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlton U21 | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlton U21 1–1–4 Cardiff U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 25/11/25 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 24/01/25 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 05/10/24 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 20/02/24 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 27/11/23 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 5-5 HT 2-3 | Cardiff U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Swansea U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 8 | Cardiff U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charlton U21 | Cardiff U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Utd U21 | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Wigan U21 | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| Barnsley U21 | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Colchester U21 | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Charlton U21 (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Cardiff U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlton U21 win (38%). Probabilities: Charlton U21 38%, draw 23%, Cardiff U21 38%.
How many goals are expected in Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Charlton U21 1.67 · Cardiff U21 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Charlton U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.