Football · England Development League 2 · 26/10, 15:00
Prediction: Sheff Utd U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
Team pages: Sheff Utd U21 · Fleetwood Town U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Sheff Utd U212.39
Fleetwood Town U211.09
1X2
Sheff Utd U21
Draw
Fleetwood Town U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sheff Utd U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Fleetwood Town U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sheff Utd U21
3–2–1
Fleetwood Town U21
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town U211-1Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U212-0Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U213-1Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U215-1Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U210-0Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U216-0Fleetwood Town U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sheff Utd U21 1540 · Fleetwood Town U21 1481
| Sheff Utd U21 | Draw | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Utd U21 (rating 1540 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Sheff Utd U21: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sheff Utd U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheff Utd U21 3–2–1 Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 24/10/25 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 02/05/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 20/02/25 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 20/02/24 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 19/09/23 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Swansea U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sheff Utd U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Peterborough U21 | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Barnsley U21 | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Swansea U21 | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Colchester U21 | 4-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sheff Utd U21 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sheff Utd U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/10 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 31/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
Fleetwood Town U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/10 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sheff Utd U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheff Utd U21 win (66%). Probabilities: Sheff Utd U21 66%, draw 19%, Fleetwood Town U21 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sheff Utd U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Sheff Utd U21 2.39 · Fleetwood Town U21 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sheff Utd U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.