Football · England Development League 2 · 26/10, 14:00

Prediction: Barnsley U21 vs Peterborough U21

Team pages: Barnsley U21 · Peterborough U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Barnsley U212.08

Peterborough U212.01

1X2

40% 22% 38%

Barnsley U21 Draw Peterborough U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Barnsley U21 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLLLD

Peterborough U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLLLD

Head-to-head

Barnsley U21 2–1–3 Peterborough U21 (6 last)

Peterborough U215-1Barnsley U21
Barnsley U213-4Peterborough U21
Peterborough U210-1Barnsley U21
Barnsley U213-4Peterborough U21
Peterborough U212-2Barnsley U21
Barnsley U214-2Peterborough U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barnsley U21 1458 · Peterborough U21 1473

	Barnsley U21	Draw	Peterborough U21
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peterborough U21: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barnsley U21	Peterborough U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.6	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.9	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.31 ★
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +21’	2.20	4.10	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +10’	2.31	4.02	2.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley U21 2–1–3 Peterborough U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/01/26 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	5-1 HT 4-0	Barnsley U21
07/10/25 England Development League 2	Barnsley U21	3-4 HT 2-2	Peterborough U21
07/02/25 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	0-1 HT 0-1	Barnsley U21
01/10/24 England Development League 2	Barnsley U21	3-4 HT 1-2	Peterborough U21
27/02/24 England Development League 2	Peterborough U21	2-2 HT 0-2	Barnsley U21
03/10/23 England Development League 2	Barnsley U21	4-2 HT 0-1	Peterborough U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	8	7	0	1	22	6	21
2	Fleetwood Town U21	8	5	1	2	12	13	16
3	Coventry U21	7	4	1	2	17	11	13
4	Sheff Utd U21	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
5	Cardiff U21	7	3	3	1	18	9	12
6	Bristol City U21	7	3	3	1	18	12	12
7	Swansea U21	8	4	0	4	13	12	12
8	Wigan U21	9	2	4	3	20	25	10
9	Huddersfield U21	5	3	0	2	13	9	9
10	Charlton U21	8	2	3	3	14	16	9
11	Barnsley U21	7	2	2	3	13	17	8
12	QPR U21	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
13	Peterborough U21	7	2	2	3	10	18	8
14	Sheffield Wed U21	8	1	4	3	13	16	7
15	Colchester U21	7	2	0	5	14	21	6
16	Hull U21	6	1	2	3	9	13	5
17	Millwall U21	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barnsley U21	Peterborough U21
Fleetwood Town U21	2-2 D	0-1 L
Sheff Utd U21	0-2 L	0-4 L
Cardiff U21	2-1 W	0-6 L
Sheffield Wed U21	0-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Barnsley U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barnsley U21

LWLWDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
09/10	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
25/09	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
15/09	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	1-4	3-5	8	6	L
01/09	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	4-3	4-3	6	4	W
23/08	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
18/08	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/04	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
10/04	Colchester U21 England Development League 2	2-0	4-0	1	3	W
07/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-3	2-5	1	2	L

Peterborough U21

WDLWWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-2	8	5	D
13/10	Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2	0-3	0-4	8	5	L
29/09	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
18/09	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-6	2	4	L
15/09	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-2	3-3	3	0	D
25/08	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	3-2	7	5	W
18/08	QPR U21 England Development League 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/05	Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
14/04	Brentford U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/04	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barnsley U21 vs Peterborough U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnsley U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Barnsley U21 40%, draw 22%, Peterborough U21 38%.

How many goals are expected in Barnsley U21 vs Peterborough U21?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Barnsley U21 2.08 · Peterborough U21 2.01), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Barnsley U21 vs Peterborough U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.