Football · England Development League 2 · 27/10, 14:00
Prediction: Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21
Team pages: Bristol City U21 · Millwall U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Bristol City U212.35
Millwall U211.23
1X2
Bristol City U21
Draw
Millwall U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City U21
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Millwall U21
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City U21
0–2–4
Millwall U21
(6 last)
- Millwall U212-1Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U211-4Millwall U21
- Bristol City U212-2Millwall U21
- Millwall U213-2Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U211-1Millwall U21
- Millwall U215-1Bristol City U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City U21 1511 · Millwall U21 1466
| Bristol City U21 | Draw | Millwall U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol City U21 (rating 1511 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Millwall U21: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City U21 | Millwall U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City U21 0–2–4 Millwall U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 04/11/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Millwall U21 |
| 23/04/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Millwall U21 |
| 21/03/25 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Bristol City U21 |
| 20/02/24 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Millwall U21 |
| 27/11/23 England Development League 2 | Millwall U21 | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Bristol City U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Swansea U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol City U21 | Millwall U21 |
|---|---|---|
| QPR U21 | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Charlton U21 | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Peterborough U21 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol City U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/10 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 08/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Millwall U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/08 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 31/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/03 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City U21 win (62%). Probabilities: Bristol City U21 62%, draw 20%, Millwall U21 19%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Bristol City U21 2.35 · Millwall U21 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.