Football · England Development League 2 · 27/10, 20:30

Prediction: Colchester U21 vs QPR U21

Team pages: Colchester U21 · QPR U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Colchester U211.93

QPR U212.36

1X2

31% 21% 47%

Colchester U21 Draw QPR U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Colchester U21 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLLWLL

QPR U21 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Colchester U21 1–2–3 QPR U21 (6 last)

QPR U214-3Colchester U21
Colchester U211-1QPR U21
QPR U217-0Colchester U21
QPR U210-1Colchester U21
Colchester U211-1QPR U21
Colchester U212-3QPR U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colchester U21 1446 · QPR U21 1465

	Colchester U21	Draw	QPR U21
Our model	32%	21%	48%
Market	31%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours QPR U21: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colchester U21	QPR U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.7	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.20

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.98 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.35
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +10’	2.88	4.20	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +25’	2.98	4.35	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colchester U21 1–2–3 QPR U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 England Development League 2	QPR U21	4-3 HT 1-1	Colchester U21
30/01/26 England Development League 2	Colchester U21	1-1 HT 0-1	QPR U21
28/01/25 England Development League 2	QPR U21	7-0 HT 3-0	Colchester U21
10/12/24 England U21 Premier League Cup	QPR U21	0-1 HT 0-0	Colchester U21
22/10/24 England U21 Premier League Cup	Colchester U21	1-1 HT 1-0	QPR U21
11/10/24 England Development League 2	Colchester U21	2-3 HT 2-0	QPR U21

Standings · England Development League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolton U21	8	7	0	1	22	6	21
2	Fleetwood Town U21	8	5	1	2	12	13	16
3	Coventry U21	7	4	1	2	17	11	13
4	Sheff Utd U21	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
5	Cardiff U21	7	3	3	1	18	9	12
6	Bristol City U21	7	3	3	1	18	12	12
7	Swansea U21	8	4	0	4	13	12	12
8	Wigan U21	9	2	4	3	20	25	10
9	Huddersfield U21	5	3	0	2	13	9	9
10	Charlton U21	8	2	3	3	14	16	9
11	Barnsley U21	7	2	2	3	13	17	8
12	QPR U21	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
13	Peterborough U21	7	2	2	3	10	18	8
14	Sheffield Wed U21	8	1	4	3	13	16	7
15	Colchester U21	7	2	0	5	14	21	6
16	Hull U21	6	1	2	3	9	13	5
17	Millwall U21	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colchester U21	QPR U21
Swansea U21	1-2 L	2-4 L
Coventry U21	0-1 L	1-5 L
Bolton U21	0-7 L	1-3 L
Fleetwood Town U21	4-0 W	4-1 W
Bristol City U21	1-3 L	3-1 W
Cardiff U21	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Colchester U21 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colchester U21

DDLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-2	7	1	L
29/09	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
25/09	Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
15/09	Wigan U21 England Development League 2	2-1	4-6	6	3	L
01/09	Barnsley U21 England Development League 2	3-4	3-4	8	4	L
25/08	Bolton U21 England Development League 2	0-2	0-7	4	0	L
14/08	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	4-0	4-0	–	–	W
20/04	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
17/04	Charlton U21 England Development League 2	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
14/04	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-1	8	6	D

QPR U21

DLDLWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Bristol City U21 England Development League 2	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
13/10	Cardiff U21 England Development League 2	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
06/10	Coventry U21 England Development League 2	0-1	1-5	4	2	L
28/09	Swansea U21 England Development League 2	0-3	2-4	1	5	L
21/09	Bolton U21 England Development League 2	0-2	1-3	9	5	L
13/09	Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
01/09	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
25/08	Hull U21 England Development League 2	0-1	3-3	9	3	D
18/08	Peterborough U21 England Development League 2	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
13/04	Crewe U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	3	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colchester U21 vs QPR U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an QPR U21 win (47%). Probabilities: Colchester U21 31%, draw 21%, QPR U21 47%.

How many goals are expected in Colchester U21 vs QPR U21?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Colchester U21 1.93 · QPR U21 2.36), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Colchester U21 vs QPR U21?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.