Football · England Development League 2 · 26/10, 14:00
Prediction: Swansea U21 vs Charlton U21
Team pages: Swansea U21 · Charlton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Swansea U212.25
Charlton U211.44
1X2
Swansea U21
Draw
Charlton U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Swansea U21
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Charlton U21
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swansea U21
3–3
Charlton U21
(6 last)
- Charlton U216-0Swansea U21
- Swansea U213-0Charlton U21
- Swansea U213-1Charlton U21
- Charlton U213-1Swansea U21
- Charlton U211-0Swansea U21
- Swansea U215-0Charlton U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swansea U21 1509 · Charlton U21 1499
| Swansea U21 | Draw | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 20% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swansea U21 | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swansea U21 3–0–3 Charlton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 07/11/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 24/03/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Charlton U21 |
| 20/12/24 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Swansea U21 |
| 30/01/24 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 30/10/23 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 5-0 HT 5-0 | Charlton U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Swansea U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swansea U21 | Charlton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester U21 | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sheff Utd U21 | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/10 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Charlton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 06/10 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swansea U21 vs Charlton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swansea U21 win (56%). Probabilities: Swansea U21 56%, draw 21%, Charlton U21 24%.
How many goals are expected in Swansea U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Swansea U21 2.25 · Charlton U21 1.44), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Swansea U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.