Football · England Development League 2 · 27/10, 20:00
Prediction: Cardiff U21 vs Coventry U21
Team pages: Cardiff U21 · Coventry U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Cardiff U212.15
Coventry U211.59
1X2
Cardiff U21
Draw
Coventry U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff U21
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Coventry U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cardiff U21
0–2–2
Coventry U21
(4 last)
- Cardiff U210-2Coventry U21
- Cardiff U211-1Coventry U21
- Coventry U213-3Cardiff U21
- Coventry U213-0Cardiff U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cardiff U21 1528 · Coventry U21 1545
| Cardiff U21 | Draw | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 50% | 22% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Coventry U21: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cardiff U21 | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cardiff U21 0–2–2 Coventry U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 28/02/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 30/04/24 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 17/04/23 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Cardiff U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Coventry U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Sheff Utd U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Cardiff U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol City U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Swansea U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Wigan U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 10 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Barnsley U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 13 | Peterborough U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cardiff U21 | Coventry U21 |
|---|---|---|
| QPR U21 | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Wigan U21 | 5-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Barnsley U21 | 1-2 L | 5-3 W |
| Colchester U21 | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Coventry U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cardiff U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 13/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cardiff U21 vs Coventry U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff U21 win (50%). Probabilities: Cardiff U21 50%, draw 22%, Coventry U21 28%.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Cardiff U21 2.15 · Coventry U21 1.59), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cardiff U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.