Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: Villa Dalmine vs CA Ituzaingo
Team pages: Villa Dalmine · CA Ituzaingo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Villa Dalmine1.46
CA Ituzaingo0.26
1X2
Villa Dalmine
Draw
CA Ituzaingo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 61%
Most likely score
1-0 25%
Recent form · 10 last
Villa Dalmine
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
CA Ituzaingo
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa Dalmine
1–0
CA Ituzaingo
(1 last)
- CA Ituzaingo0-2Villa Dalmine
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa Dalmine 1509 · CA Ituzaingo 1429
| Villa Dalmine | Draw | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 27% | 6% |
| Market | 70% | 22% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa Dalmine (rating 1509 vs 1429).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa Dalmine | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 1.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Dalmine 1–0–0 CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Villa Dalmine |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Camioneros | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 19 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 35 | 20 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 27 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 55 |
| 8 | Club Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 38 | 33 | 53 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 51 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 45 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 44 |
| 12 | CS Dock Sud | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 35 | 41 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 39 | 40 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 40 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 40 |
| 17 | Deportivo Merlo | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 34 | 49 | 40 |
| 18 | CSD Flandria | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 43 | 38 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 38 | 37 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 37 | 34 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 35 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 31 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 35 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 55 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa Dalmine | CA Ituzaingo |
|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Argentino Merlo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Villa Dalmine (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Dalmine vs CA Ituzaingo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Dalmine win (69%). Probabilities: Villa Dalmine 69%, draw 24%, CA Ituzaingo 7%.
How many goals are expected in Villa Dalmine vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Villa Dalmine 1.46 · CA Ituzaingo 0.26), with a 61% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa Dalmine vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model gives a 61% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.