Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 28/09, 20:00

Prediction: CSD Flandria vs CS Dock Sud

Team pages: CSD Flandria · CS Dock Sud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

CSD Flandria1.25

CS Dock Sud1.08

1X2

39% 31% 31%

CSD Flandria Draw CS Dock Sud

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Flandria 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLWLWL

CS Dock Sud 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDWWLLD

Head-to-head

CSD Flandria 1–2–2 CS Dock Sud (5 last)

CS Dock Sud0-0CSD Flandria
CS Dock Sud0-1CSD Flandria
CSD Flandria1-2CS Dock Sud
CSD Flandria0-3CS Dock Sud
CS Dock Sud2-2CSD Flandria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1492 · CS Dock Sud 1494

	CSD Flandria	Draw	CS Dock Sud
Our model	39%	31%	31%
Market	39%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Dock Sud: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Flandria	CS Dock Sud
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.4	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.90

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:36 +3’	2.30	2.90	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 1–2–2 CS Dock Sud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
21/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	0-1 HT 0-1	CSD Flandria
01/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-2 HT 0-1	CS Dock Sud
22/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	0-3 HT 0-2	CS Dock Sud
05/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	2-2 HT 1-0	CSD Flandria

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	36	21	8	7	56	29	71
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	36	18	12	6	48	24	66
3	Talleres Remedios	36	18	10	8	37	19	64
4	Atletico Camioneros	36	17	12	7	42	24	63
5	Villa Dalmine	36	17	12	7	38	21	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	36	16	11	9	41	27	59
7	Real Pilar	36	16	10	10	40	35	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	36	15	9	12	38	38	54
9	Club Comunicaciones	36	14	11	11	38	33	53
10	Deportivo Laferrere	36	12	12	12	43	47	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	36	11	14	11	35	37	47
12	CS Dock Sud	36	10	14	12	38	38	44
13	Argentino Merlo	36	11	11	14	32	36	44
14	Deportivo Merlo	36	10	13	13	36	50	43
15	Villa San Carlos	36	9	14	13	35	39	41
16	Argentino Quilmes	36	9	14	13	29	36	41
17	Deportivo Liniers	36	9	13	14	30	37	40
18	CSD Flandria	36	10	8	18	32	45	38
19	Defensores Unidos	36	8	13	15	31	38	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	36	7	14	15	21	37	35
21	UAI Urquiza	36	4	19	13	18	33	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	36	1	12	23	23	58	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Flandria	CS Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo	1-2 L	2-1 W
Atletico Camioneros	2-1 W	2-2 D
Sportivo Italiano	1-3 L	0-4 L
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	4-1 W
Villa San Carlos	2-3 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Flandria

DLDDWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
13/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	3	11	W
05/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
30/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
25/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
22/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
15/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
08/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	2	5	D

CS Dock Sud

DDWLDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
06/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
27/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
23/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	4	D
15/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
09/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	13	3	W
02/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
25/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs CS Dock Sud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Flandria win (39%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 39%, draw 31%, CS Dock Sud 31%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs CS Dock Sud?

The model expects 2.33 goals (CSD Flandria 1.25 · CS Dock Sud 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs CS Dock Sud?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.