Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs Club Comunicaciones

Team pages: Argentino Quilmes · Club Comunicaciones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.54Total

Argentino Quilmes0.7

Club Comunicaciones0.84

1X2

28% 35% 37%

Argentino Quilmes Draw Club Comunicaciones

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 23%

Recent form · 10 last

Argentino Quilmes 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLLLWD

Club Comunicaciones 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Argentino Quilmes 1–4–1 Club Comunicaciones (6 last)

Club Comunicaciones0-0Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes2-3Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones1-2Argentino Quilmes
Club Comunicaciones0-0Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes1-1Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones1-1Argentino Quilmes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1473 · Club Comunicaciones 1515

	Argentino Quilmes	Draw	Club Comunicaciones
Our model	27%	39%	35%
Market	30%	32%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 1.54 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Comunicaciones (rating 1473 vs 1515).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentino Quilmes	Club Comunicaciones
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.80

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 1.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +17’	3.00	2.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 1–4–1 Club Comunicaciones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentino Quilmes
05/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	2-3 HT 0-1	Club Comunicaciones
18/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	1-2 HT 0-1	Argentino Quilmes
12/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentino Quilmes
22/05/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	1-1 HT 1-0	Club Comunicaciones
18/07/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	1-1 HT 0-0	Argentino Quilmes

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	36	21	8	7	56	29	71
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	36	18	12	6	48	24	66
3	Talleres Remedios	36	18	10	8	37	19	64
4	Atletico Camioneros	36	17	12	7	42	24	63
5	Villa Dalmine	36	17	12	7	38	21	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	36	16	11	9	41	27	59
7	Real Pilar	36	16	10	10	40	35	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	36	15	9	12	38	38	54
9	Club Comunicaciones	36	14	11	11	38	33	53
10	Deportivo Laferrere	36	12	12	12	43	47	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	36	11	14	11	35	37	47
12	CS Dock Sud	36	10	14	12	38	38	44
13	Argentino Merlo	36	11	11	14	32	36	44
14	Deportivo Merlo	36	10	13	13	36	50	43
15	Villa San Carlos	36	9	14	13	35	39	41
16	Argentino Quilmes	36	9	14	13	29	36	41
17	Deportivo Liniers	36	9	13	14	30	37	40
18	CSD Flandria	36	10	8	18	32	45	38
19	Defensores Unidos	36	8	13	15	31	38	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	36	7	14	15	21	37	35
21	UAI Urquiza	36	4	19	13	18	33	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	36	1	12	23	23	58	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentino Quilmes	Club Comunicaciones
CS Dock Sud	0-0 D	1-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	1-0 W	1-0 W
Atletico Camioneros	0-1 L	0-2 L
Sportivo Italiano	0-2 L	1-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	2-3 L	0-0 D
Villa San Carlos	0-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	0-0 D
Real Pilar	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Comunicaciones (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Argentino Quilmes

DDDWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
13/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
06/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
29/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
25/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	7	7	L
23/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
16/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
08/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
01/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Club Comunicaciones

LDLDWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
12/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
06/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
01/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
21/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs Club Comunicaciones?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Comunicaciones win (37%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 28%, draw 35%, Club Comunicaciones 37%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model expects 1.54 goals (Argentino Quilmes 0.7 · Club Comunicaciones 0.84), with a 62% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.