Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 26/09, 20:00

Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs Deportivo Liniers

Team pages: Arsenal de Sarandi · Deportivo Liniers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Arsenal de Sarandi1.4

Deportivo Liniers0.57

1X2

57% 28% 15%

Arsenal de Sarandi Draw Deportivo Liniers

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Arsenal de Sarandi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWWWWL

Deportivo Liniers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWDDWL

Head-to-head

Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 Deportivo Liniers (1 last)

Deportivo Liniers0-0Arsenal de Sarandi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arsenal de Sarandi 1532 · Deportivo Liniers 1500

	Arsenal de Sarandi	Draw	Deportivo Liniers
Our model	57%	30%	14%
Market	58%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arsenal de Sarandi	Deportivo Liniers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	1.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.40

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +5’	1.53	3.40	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 Deportivo Liniers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	0-0 HT 0-0	Arsenal de Sarandi

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	36	21	8	7	56	29	71
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	36	18	12	6	48	24	66
3	Talleres Remedios	36	18	10	8	37	19	64
4	Atletico Camioneros	36	17	12	7	42	24	63
5	Villa Dalmine	36	17	12	7	38	21	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	36	16	11	9	41	27	59
7	Real Pilar	36	16	10	10	40	35	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	36	15	9	12	38	38	54
9	Club Comunicaciones	36	14	11	11	38	33	53
10	Deportivo Laferrere	36	12	12	12	43	47	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	36	11	14	11	35	37	47
12	CS Dock Sud	36	10	14	12	38	38	44
13	Argentino Merlo	36	11	11	14	32	36	44
14	Deportivo Merlo	36	10	13	13	36	50	43
15	Villa San Carlos	36	9	14	13	35	39	41
16	Argentino Quilmes	36	9	14	13	29	36	41
17	Deportivo Liniers	36	9	13	14	30	37	40
18	CSD Flandria	36	10	8	18	32	45	38
19	Defensores Unidos	36	8	13	15	31	38	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	36	7	14	15	21	37	35
21	UAI Urquiza	36	4	19	13	18	33	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	36	1	12	23	23	58	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arsenal de Sarandi	Deportivo Liniers
Argentino Merlo	0-0 D	1-2 L
Talleres Remedios	0-1 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Laferrere	1-1 D	2-2 D
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Armenio	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Liniers (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arsenal de Sarandi

DDDLDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
05/09	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	2	8	W
25/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
22/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
15/08	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
09/08	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
31/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
25/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Deportivo Liniers

DDWLLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/09	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
29/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	1	7	W
01/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Deportivo Liniers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (57%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 57%, draw 28%, Deportivo Liniers 15%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.4 · Deportivo Liniers 0.57), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.