Prediction: Long Eaton Utd vs Belper Town
Team pages: Long Eaton Utd · Belper Town
- Belper Town4-1Long Eaton Utd
- Belper Town1-1Long Eaton Utd
| Long Eaton Utd | Draw | Belper Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belper Town (rating 1434 vs 1484).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Long Eaton Utd | Belper Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Long Eaton Utd 0–1–1 Belper Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/24 Club Friendly List | Belper Town | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Long Eaton Utd |
| 05/12/17 England County Cup | Belper Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Long Eaton Utd |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Long Eaton Utd | Belper Town |
|---|---|---|
| Shepshed Dynamo | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Anstey Nomads | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belper Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Long Eaton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Coventry United England Northern League Division One |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/02 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/02 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/01 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/01 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/12 | St Neots Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Belper Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Basford Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 04/04 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/03 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/02 | Rugby Town England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/12 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 06/12 | Bedworth Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/10 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/10 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Long Eaton Utd vs Belper Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belper Town win (39%). Probabilities: Long Eaton Utd 34%, draw 27%, Belper Town 39%.
How many goals are expected in Long Eaton Utd vs Belper Town?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Long Eaton Utd 1.29 · Belper Town 1.4), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Long Eaton Utd vs Belper Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.