Football · England Northern League Division One · 22/09, 20:45
Prediction: AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Bedworth Utd
Team pages: AFC Rushden & Diamonds · Bedworth Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
AFC Rushden & Diamonds1.43
Bedworth Utd1.2
1X2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Draw
Bedworth Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Bedworth Utd
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2–3
Bedworth Utd
(5 last)
- Bedworth Utd2-0AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bedworth Utd2-1AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds0-3Bedworth Utd
- Bedworth Utd1-3AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds3-1Bedworth Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1501 · Bedworth Utd 1487
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Draw | Bedworth Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bedworth Utd: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Bedworth Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.3 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 11/78/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2–0–3 Bedworth Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 England Northern League Division One | Bedworth Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
| 13/08/24 England Northern League Division One | Bedworth Utd | 2-1 HT 1-0 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
| 22/08/23 England Northern League Division One | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bedworth Utd |
| 19/01/19 England Southern Premier League Central | Bedworth Utd | 1-3 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
| 17/11/18 England Southern Premier League Central | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 3-1 | Bedworth Utd |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Bedworth Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry Sphinx | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| St Neots Town | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Barwell England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | Bedworth Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Coventry Sphinx England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/01 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/01 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 04/11 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/10 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/10 | St Neots Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Bedworth Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Corby England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Coventry United England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 18/08 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Wellingborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/02 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/02 | Basford Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/01 | Coventry Sphinx England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/12 | St Neots Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Bedworth Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Rushden & Diamonds win (42%). Probabilities: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 42%, draw 27%, Bedworth Utd 31%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Bedworth Utd?
The model expects 2.63 goals (AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.43 · Bedworth Utd 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Bedworth Utd?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.