Prediction: Coleshill Town vs Belper Town

Team pages: Coleshill Town · Belper Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Coleshill Town1.4
Belper Town1.23
1X2
40% 27% 32%
Coleshill Town Draw Belper Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Coleshill Town 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
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Belper Town 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coleshill Town 1404 · Belper Town 1474
Coleshill TownDrawBelper Town
Our model40%29%32%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belper Town (rating 1404 vs 1474).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Coleshill TownBelper Town
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.62.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.14.3 / 0.1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColeshill TownBelper Town
Bedworth Utd 0-1 L 1-1 D
Corby 2-2 D 1-2 L
Loughborough University 1-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belper Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coleshill Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 Sutton Coldfield
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 124 L
15/09 Mickleover Sports
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 18 D
12/09 Rugby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-3 62 L
25/08 Nuneaton Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-3 90 L
10/08 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 53 L
04/04 St Neots Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 73 L
04/03 Corby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 91 D
14/02 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 66 D
03/02 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
1-2 1-3 73 L
10/01 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 40 D

Belper Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Long Eaton Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 34 D
11/08 Loughborough University
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 26 D
08/08 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 43 D
28/04 Basford Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-2 89 D
04/04 Boldmere St Michaels
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-2 52 L
31/03 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 26 L
10/02 Rugby Town
England Northern League Division One
3-0 4-1 45 W
09/12 Shepshed Dynamo
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 61 D
06/12 Bedworth Utd
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 46 D
29/10 Corby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coleshill Town vs Belper Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleshill Town win (40%). Probabilities: Coleshill Town 40%, draw 27%, Belper Town 32%.

How many goals are expected in Coleshill Town vs Belper Town?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Coleshill Town 1.4 · Belper Town 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Coleshill Town vs Belper Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.