Prediction: Garforth Town vs Lincoln Utd

Team pages: Garforth Town · Lincoln Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Garforth Town1.81
Lincoln Utd1.43
1X2
46% 24% 30%
Garforth Town Draw Lincoln Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Garforth Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLWDDWLL
Lincoln Utd 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLDDWWWWWL
Head-to-head
Garforth Town 1–1–0 Lincoln Utd (2 last)
  • Garforth Town1-1Lincoln Utd
  • Lincoln Utd1-4Garforth Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Garforth Town 1457 · Lincoln Utd 1518
Garforth TownDrawLincoln Utd
Our model46%25%30%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lincoln Utd (rating 1457 vs 1518).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Garforth TownLincoln Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.21.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.71.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Garforth Town 110 Lincoln Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/02/26
England Northern League Division One
Garforth Town1-1
HT 1-0
Lincoln Utd
13/09/25
England Northern League Division One
Lincoln Utd1-4
HT 0-2
Garforth Town

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGarforth TownLincoln Utd
North Ferriby 2-0 W 0-2 L
Hallam 4-0 W 2-0 W
Pontefract Collieries 0-2 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Garforth Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Garforth Town

WLDLWDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/09 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 34 L
08/09 Beverley Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 44 L
25/08 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 46 W
19/08 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
1-3 3-3 34 D
11/04 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/02 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 84 W
17/02 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 84 L
03/02 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 44 D
01/01 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-2 14 L
29/11 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 71 W

Lincoln Utd

DLDDWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Liversedge
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-5 31 L
26/08 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-0 83 W
11/08 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-0 44 W
04/04 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-1 4-1 44 W
25/03 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-0 42 W
04/03 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-1 23 W
03/02 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 54 D
01/01 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 55 D
29/12 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 10 L
13/12 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 78 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Garforth Town vs Lincoln Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Garforth Town win (46%). Probabilities: Garforth Town 46%, draw 24%, Lincoln Utd 30%.

How many goals are expected in Garforth Town vs Lincoln Utd?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Garforth Town 1.81 · Lincoln Utd 1.43), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Garforth Town vs Lincoln Utd?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.