Prediction: Heaton Stannington vs Grimsby Borough
Team pages: Heaton Stannington · Grimsby Borough
- Heaton Stannington4-0Grimsby Borough
- Grimsby Borough0-3Heaton Stannington
| Heaton Stannington | Draw | Grimsby Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heaton Stannington (rating 1478 vs 1397).
- H2H favours Heaton Stannington: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heaton Stannington | Grimsby Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heaton Stannington 2–0–0 Grimsby Borough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 England Northern League Division One | Heaton Stannington | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Grimsby Borough |
| 29/03/25 England Northern League Division One | Grimsby Borough | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Heaton Stannington |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heaton Stannington | Grimsby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Stocksbridge PS | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Bradford P A | 2-1 W | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Heaton Stannington (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heaton Stannington
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | West Auckland England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/04 | Ossett United England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/02 | Blyth Spartans England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 07/02 | Bishop Auckland England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/12 | Grimsby Borough England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Grimsby Borough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/08 | Garforth Town England Northern League Division One |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/04 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/03 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/02 | Redcar Athletic England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heaton Stannington vs Grimsby Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heaton Stannington win (52%). Probabilities: Heaton Stannington 52%, draw 25%, Grimsby Borough 24%.
How many goals are expected in Heaton Stannington vs Grimsby Borough?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Heaton Stannington 1.76 · Grimsby Borough 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Heaton Stannington vs Grimsby Borough?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.