Prediction: Lower Breck vs Atherton Collieries
Team pages: Lower Breck · Atherton Collieries
- Atherton Collieries2-5Lower Breck
| Lower Breck | Draw | Atherton Collieries | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atherton Collieries (rating 1461 vs 1515).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lower Breck | Atherton Collieries | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/11/78% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lower Breck 1–0–0 Atherton Collieries
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/25 England Northern League Division One | Atherton Collieries | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Lower Breck |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lower Breck | Atherton Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Runcorn Linnets | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Witton Albion | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Bootle | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atherton Collieries (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lower Breck
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Clitheroe England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/03 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/02 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/12 | Bootle England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 22/11 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/11 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/10 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
Atherton Collieries
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Runcorn Linnets England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Padiham England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 09/01 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/12 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 28/10 | Mossley England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/10 | Bootle England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lower Breck vs Atherton Collieries?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lower Breck win (48%). Probabilities: Lower Breck 48%, draw 24%, Atherton Collieries 28%.
How many goals are expected in Lower Breck vs Atherton Collieries?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Lower Breck 1.97 · Atherton Collieries 1.47), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lower Breck vs Atherton Collieries?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.