Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline
Team pages: Stenhousemuir · Dunfermline
- Dunfermline3-0Stenhousemuir
- Dunfermline4-1Stenhousemuir
- Dunfermline5-0Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir0-3Dunfermline
- Dunfermline1-0Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir0-5Dunfermline
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 34% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Dunfermline: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 0–0–6 Dunfermline
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/25 Scotland FA Cup | Dunfermline | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 24/07/21 Scotland League Cup | Dunfermline | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 05/03/16 Scotland League One | Dunfermline | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 06/02/16 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Dunfermline |
| 19/12/15 Scotland League One | Dunfermline | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 19/09/15 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Dunfermline |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Partick | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Raith | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ayr | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Arbroath | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Livingston | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Morton | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Stenhousemuir (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunfermline win (46%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 23%, draw 30%, Dunfermline 46%.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
The model expects 1.8 goals (Stenhousemuir 0.68 · Dunfermline 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.