Football · Scotland Championship · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Ayr vs Queen's Park

Team pages: Ayr · Queen's Park

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Ayr1.42
Queen's Park0.87
1X2
49% 28% 22%
Ayr Draw Queen's Park
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ayr 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLLWLWDL
Queen's Park 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Ayr 1–4–1 Queen's Park (6 last)
  • Queen's Park0-2Ayr
  • Queen's Park1-1Ayr
  • Ayr1-2Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park0-0Ayr
  • Ayr1-1Queen's Park
  • Ayr2-2Queen's Park
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ayr 1453 · Queen's Park 1436
AyrDrawQueen's Park
Our model49%30%22%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AyrQueen's Park
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.20.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.51.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.24.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayr 1–4–1 Queen's Park

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/09/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-2
HT 0-1
Ayr
14/03/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park1-1
HT 1-1
Ayr
10/03/26
Scotland Championship
Ayr1-2
HT 0-0
Queen's Park
25/10/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-0
HT 0-0
Ayr
30/08/25
Scotland Championship
Ayr1-1
HT 0-1
Queen's Park
26/04/25
Scotland Championship
Ayr2-2
HT 1-2
Queen's Park

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Partick 12741 15425
2 Stenhousemuir 11722 13823
3 Raith 12633 16921
4 Inverness CT 12543 161119
5 Dunfermline 11461 9618
6 Livingston 12525 151117
7 Ayr 11335 101212
8 Arbroath 12327 71811
9 Morton 11218 9187
10 Queen's Park 12219 6197

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAyrQueen's Park
Partick 0-1 L 0-0 D
Dunfermline 1-1 D 0-1 L
Stenhousemuir 0-1 L 0-2 L
Inverness CT 1-3 L 2-1 W
Morton 1-1 D 0-2 L
Raith 0-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ayr (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ayr

DLDLLWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 56 L
10/10 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 26 D
03/10 Livingston
Scotland Championship
2-1 2-1 07 W
25/09 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 106 L
18/09 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 64 W
12/09 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-2 1-3 84 L
05/09 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 35 L
29/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 34 D
22/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 24 L
08/08 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 61 D

Queen's Park

LDWLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/10 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 37 L
13/10 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
2-1 2-1 52 W
10/10 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 49 L
25/09 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-2 1-2 94 L
18/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 34 L
12/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 96 L
05/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-1 2-1 65 W
29/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 23 D
22/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ayr vs Queen's Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ayr win (49%). Probabilities: Ayr 49%, draw 28%, Queen's Park 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ayr vs Queen's Park?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Ayr 1.42 · Queen's Park 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ayr vs Queen's Park?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.