Prediction: Partick vs Morton
- Morton0-1Partick
- Morton1-2Partick
- Partick3-2Morton
- Morton1-1Partick
- Partick1-1Morton
- Morton0-1Partick
| Partick | Draw | Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1583 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Partick: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partick | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.6 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 4–2–0 Morton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 13/03/26 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Partick |
| 03/01/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Morton |
| 11/10/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Partick |
| 09/08/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Morton |
| 29/03/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Partick |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partick | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Ayr | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Livingston | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Arbroath | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Raith | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Queen's Park | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Inverness CT | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Morton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partick vs Morton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (72%). Probabilities: Partick 72%, draw 19%, Morton 9%.
How many goals are expected in Partick vs Morton?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Partick 2.13 · Morton 0.63), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Partick vs Morton?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.