Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston
Team pages: Stenhousemuir · Livingston
- Livingston0-1Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir0-0Livingston
- Stenhousemuir1-3Livingston
- Stenhousemuir0-4Livingston
- Stenhousemuir0-1Livingston
- Livingston1-0Stenhousemuir
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 31% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Livingston: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stenhousemuir | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 1–1–4 Livingston
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 Scotland Championship | Livingston | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stenhousemuir |
| 25/07/26 Scotland League Cup | Stenhousemuir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Livingston |
| 21/01/23 Scotland FA Cup | Stenhousemuir | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Livingston |
| 10/11/20 Scotland League Cup | Stenhousemuir | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Livingston |
| 15/04/17 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Livingston |
| 21/03/17 Scotland League One | Livingston | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stenhousemuir |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stenhousemuir | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Partick | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Raith | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Ayr | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Arbroath | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Morton | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Livingston (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Livingston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 25/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Livingston win (51%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 21%, draw 28%, Livingston 51%.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Stenhousemuir 0.72 · Livingston 1.32), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.