Football · Scotland Championship · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dunfermline vs Inverness CT

Team pages: Dunfermline · Inverness CT

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Dunfermline1.21

Inverness CT0.98

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Dunfermline Draw Inverness CT

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Dunfermline 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWDDDW

Inverness CT 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Dunfermline 0–5–1 Inverness CT (6 last)

Inverness CT0-0Dunfermline
Dunfermline1-1Inverness CT
Inverness CT0-0Dunfermline
Dunfermline1-1Inverness CT
Inverness CT1-1Dunfermline
Inverness CT2-0Dunfermline

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunfermline 1516 · Inverness CT 1530

	Dunfermline	Draw	Inverness CT
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunfermline	Inverness CT
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.6	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +2’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 0–5–1 Inverness CT

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	0-0 HT 0-0	Dunfermline
27/04/24 Scotland Championship	Dunfermline	1-1 HT 1-0	Inverness CT
27/02/24 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	0-0 HT 0-0	Dunfermline
18/11/23 Scotland Championship	Dunfermline	1-1 HT 0-1	Inverness CT
02/09/23 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	1-1 HT 1-0	Dunfermline
26/03/22 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	2-0 HT 0-0	Dunfermline

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Partick	12	7	4	1	15	4	25
2	Stenhousemuir	11	7	2	2	13	8	23
3	Raith	12	6	3	3	16	9	21
4	Inverness CT	12	5	4	3	16	11	19
5	Dunfermline	11	4	6	1	9	6	18
6	Livingston	12	5	2	5	15	11	17
7	Ayr	11	3	3	5	10	12	12
8	Arbroath	12	3	2	7	7	18	11
9	Morton	11	2	1	8	9	18	7
10	Queen's Park	12	2	1	9	6	19	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunfermline	Inverness CT
Queen's Park	1-0 W	1-2 L
Partick	1-1 D	1-1 D
Livingston	0-0 D	2-2 D
Ayr	1-1 D	3-1 W
Morton	1-0 W	2-0 W
Arbroath	1-1 D	2-0 W
Raith	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunfermline

DLWDWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
20/10	Partick Scotland Championship	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
17/10	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
10/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
19/09	Morton Scotland Championship	0-0	1-0	9	1	W
12/09	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
05/09	Arbroath Scotland Championship	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	Raith Scotland Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/08	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
08/08	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-1	1-1	12	1	D

Inverness CT

DLLWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Raith Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/10	Arbroath Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
13/10	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	1-2	1-2	11	2	L
10/10	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
25/09	Morton Scotland Championship	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
19/09	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
12/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	2-1	3-1	5	4	W
05/09	Raith Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
21/08	Partick Scotland Championship	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Inverness CT?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunfermline win (41%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 41%, draw 30%, Inverness CT 29%.

How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Inverness CT?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Dunfermline 1.21 · Inverness CT 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Inverness CT?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.