Prediction: Raith vs Dunfermline
Team pages: Raith · Dunfermline
- Dunfermline1-0Raith
- Dunfermline3-0Raith
- Raith1-2Dunfermline
- Dunfermline2-0Raith
- Raith2-0Dunfermline
- Raith2-0Dunfermline
| Raith | Draw | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunfermline (rating 1518 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Dunfermline: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 2–0–4 Dunfermline
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 14/03/26 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 27/12/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dunfermline |
| 17/10/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 22/08/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 14/03/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
Standings · Scotland Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Raith | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Ayr | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Morton | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Livingston | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Partick | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunfermline (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Dunfermline
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Dunfermline?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunfermline win (37%). Probabilities: Raith 33%, draw 30%, Dunfermline 37%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Dunfermline?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Raith 1.07 · Dunfermline 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Dunfermline?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.