Prediction: Arbroath vs Raith
- Raith4-0Arbroath
- Arbroath2-1Raith
- Raith2-3Arbroath
- Arbroath0-0Raith
- Raith3-0Arbroath
- Raith5-0Arbroath
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 27% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Raith: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arbroath | Raith | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.6 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arbroath 2–1–3 Raith
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Arbroath |
| 18/04/26 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 10/01/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Arbroath |
| 22/11/25 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 03/05/24 Scotland Championship | Raith | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Arbroath |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raith | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arbroath | Raith |
|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Morton | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Partick | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Queen's Park | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Dunfermline | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Raith (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arbroath vs Raith?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Raith win (51%). Probabilities: Arbroath 21%, draw 28%, Raith 51%.
How many goals are expected in Arbroath vs Raith?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Arbroath 0.83 · Raith 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Raith?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.