Football · Scotland Championship · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Dunfermline vs Partick
Team pages: Dunfermline · Partick
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Dunfermline0.78
Partick0.98
1X2
Dunfermline
Draw
Partick
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunfermline
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Partick
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunfermline
0–2–4
Partick
(6 last)
- Partick2-1Dunfermline
- Dunfermline1-1Partick
- Partick2-0Dunfermline
- Dunfermline2-2Partick
- Partick1-0Dunfermline
- Dunfermline0-2Partick
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1492 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Partick: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunfermline | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 4.1 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 0–2–4 Partick
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | Partick | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Dunfermline |
| 12/05/26 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | Dunfermline | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Partick |
| 11/04/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Dunfermline |
| 24/02/26 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Partick |
| 25/11/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Partick |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Raith | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunfermline | Partick |
|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Morton | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Arbroath | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Raith | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Livingston | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Inverness CT | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Partick?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (37%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 27%, draw 36%, Partick 37%.
How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Partick?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Dunfermline 0.78 · Partick 0.98), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Partick?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.