Prediction: Raith vs Inverness CT
Team pages: Raith · Inverness CT
- Inverness CT0-2Raith
- Raith4-1Inverness CT
- Raith5-1Inverness CT
- Raith1-0Inverness CT
- Inverness CT0-1Raith
- Raith2-3Inverness CT
| Raith | Draw | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raith (rating 1550 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Raith: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 3.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 5–0–1 Inverness CT
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 05/04/26 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Raith | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Inverness CT |
| 26/07/25 Scotland League Cup | Raith | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Inverness CT |
| 06/07/24 UK Friendlies | Raith | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 19/04/24 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 27/01/24 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Inverness CT |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Raith | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Morton | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Livingston | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Partick | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Arbroath | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ayr | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 13/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Inverness CT?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (42%). Probabilities: Raith 42%, draw 29%, Inverness CT 30%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Inverness CT?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Raith 1.36 · Inverness CT 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Inverness CT?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.