Football · Scotland Championship · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Morton vs Queen's Park

Team pages: Morton · Queen's Park

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Morton1.21
Queen's Park1.21
1X2
35% 29% 35%
Morton Draw Queen's Park
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Morton 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLLLLW
Queen's Park 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLDWLLLL
Head-to-head
Morton 2–2–2 Queen's Park (6 last)
  • Queen's Park2-1Morton
  • Morton0-0Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park3-2Morton
  • Morton2-1Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park0-0Morton
  • Morton2-1Queen's Park
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Morton 1407 · Queen's Park 1422
MortonDrawQueen's Park
Our model35%30%35%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MortonQueen's Park
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.80.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.92.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.24 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Morton 2–2–2 Queen's Park

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/09/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park2-1
HT 1-1
Morton
18/04/26
Scotland Championship
Morton0-0
HT 0-0
Queen's Park
21/02/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park3-2
HT 1-1
Morton
05/12/25
Scotland Championship
Morton2-1
HT 1-1
Queen's Park
13/09/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-0
HT 0-0
Morton
22/03/25
Scotland Championship
Morton2-1
HT 1-0
Queen's Park

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12422
2 Raith 10622 15620
3 Partick 9531 10318
4 Livingston 10415 141113
5 Inverness CT 9342 11913
6 Dunfermline 8341 7513
7 Ayr 10334 101112
8 Arbroath 10325 71511
9 Morton 10118 7184
10 Queen's Park 9117 4154

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMortonQueen's Park
Arbroath 2-1 W 1-2 L
Raith 1-2 L 0-2 L
Dunfermline 0-1 L 0-2 L
Livingston 1-4 L 0-2 L
Ayr 1-1 D 0-2 L
Stenhousemuir 0-2 L 0-2 L
Partick 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Morton (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Morton

LLLDLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-1 65 W
03/10 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 52 L
25/09 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 03 L
19/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 21 L
11/09 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-2 1-4 72 L
05/09 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-2 65 L
29/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 44 D
22/08 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 13 L
08/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 42 L
01/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 45 L

Queen's Park

DLLLDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 49 L
25/09 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-2 1-2 94 L
18/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 34 L
12/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 96 L
05/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-1 2-1 65 W
29/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 23 D
22/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 43 L
08/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 43 L
01/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 02 L
01/05 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 71 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Morton vs Queen's Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Morton win (35%). Probabilities: Morton 35%, draw 29%, Queen's Park 35%.

How many goals are expected in Morton vs Queen's Park?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Morton 1.21 · Queen's Park 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Morton vs Queen's Park?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.