Prediction: Livingston vs Arbroath
Team pages: Livingston · Arbroath
- Arbroath1-0Livingston
- Arbroath0-3Livingston
| Livingston | Draw | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Livingston | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Livingston 1–0–1 Arbroath
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Livingston |
| 16/07/14 Club Friendly List | Arbroath | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Livingston |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Raith | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Livingston | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Partick | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Raith | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Inverness CT | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Morton | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Stenhousemuir | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Livingston (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Livingston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 25/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Livingston vs Arbroath?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Livingston win (67%). Probabilities: Livingston 67%, draw 21%, Arbroath 12%.
How many goals are expected in Livingston vs Arbroath?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Livingston 1.91 · Arbroath 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Livingston vs Arbroath?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.