Football · England National League South · 13/10, 20:45
Prediction: Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton
Team pages: Ebbsfleet United · AFC Totton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Ebbsfleet United2
AFC Totton0.8
1X2
Ebbsfleet United
Draw
AFC Totton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ebbsfleet United
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
AFC Totton
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ebbsfleet United
2–0
AFC Totton
(2 last)
- Ebbsfleet United4-0AFC Totton
- AFC Totton0-2Ebbsfleet United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ebbsfleet United 1556 · AFC Totton 1410
| Ebbsfleet United | Draw | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ebbsfleet United (rating 1556 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Ebbsfleet United: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ebbsfleet United | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ebbsfleet United 2–0–0 AFC Totton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England National League South | Ebbsfleet United | 4-0 HT 3-0 | AFC Totton |
| 08/11/25 England National League South | AFC Totton | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ebbsfleet United |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Dag & Red | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Weston Super Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 8 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Farnham | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 12 | Ebbsfleet United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Chelmsford | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead Utd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ebbsfleet United | AFC Totton |
|---|---|---|
| Hampton & Richmond | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Slough | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Walton & Hersham | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ebbsfleet United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ebbsfleet United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/09 | Slough England National League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Walton & Hersham England National League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Worthing England National League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
AFC Totton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Walton & Hersham England National League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Dover England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Slough England National League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Chesham England National League South |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Billericay Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Farnham England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ebbsfleet United win (65%). Probabilities: Ebbsfleet United 65%, draw 21%, AFC Totton 14%.
How many goals are expected in Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Ebbsfleet United 2 · AFC Totton 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.