Football · England National League South · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Slough vs Horsham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Slough0.96
Horsham1.53
1X2
Slough
Draw
Horsham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Slough
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Horsham
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slough
0–1–1
Horsham
(2 last)
- Slough0-0Horsham
- Horsham1-0Slough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slough 1395 · Horsham 1493
| Slough | Draw | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 28% | 49% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Horsham (rating 1395 vs 1493).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slough | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slough 0–1–1 Horsham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England National League South | Slough | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Horsham |
| 08/11/25 England National League South | Horsham | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slough |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Dag & Red | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Weston Super Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Farnham | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Chelmsford | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead Utd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
| 20 | Braintree Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slough | Horsham |
|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Salisbury FC | 1-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Braintree Town | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Dag & Red | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Folkestone Invicta | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hampton & Richmond | 3-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Farnham | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 7 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Horsham (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Torquay England National League South |
0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/09 | Ebbsfleet United England National League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | AFC Totton England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 08/09 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Braintree Town England National League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Farnham England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Horsham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Chelmsford England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Chesham England National League South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 08/09 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Dag & Red England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Farnham England National League South |
1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Braintree Town England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/08 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 15/08 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Torquay England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slough vs Horsham?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Horsham win (51%). Probabilities: Slough 23%, draw 26%, Horsham 51%.
How many goals are expected in Slough vs Horsham?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Slough 0.96 · Horsham 1.53), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Slough vs Horsham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.