Football · England National League South · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Totton

Team pages: Folkestone Invicta · AFC Totton

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Folkestone Invicta1.76

AFC Totton0.98

1X2

55% 25% 20%

Folkestone Invicta Draw AFC Totton

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Folkestone Invicta 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLDLLLD

AFC Totton 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Folkestone Invicta 0–1 AFC Totton (1 last)

Folkestone Invicta1-2AFC Totton

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Folkestone Invicta 1458 · AFC Totton 1414

	Folkestone Invicta	Draw	AFC Totton
Our model	55%	26%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Folkestone Invicta (rating 1458 vs 1414).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Folkestone Invicta	AFC Totton
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	1.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +9’	1.61	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Folkestone Invicta 0–0–1 AFC Totton

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 England FA Trophy	Folkestone Invicta	1-2	AFC Totton

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	11	7	1	3	20	12	22
2	Salisbury FC	11	6	3	2	20	8	21
3	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
4	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17	8	21
5	Dag & Red	11	6	2	3	10	7	20
6	Ebbsfleet United	8	5	3	0	14	3	18
7	Weston Super Mare	11	5	3	3	19	11	18
8	Dover	11	5	3	3	18	17	18
9	Tonbridge Angels	11	5	2	4	20	11	17
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23	17	17
11	Farnham	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
12	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18	15	16
13	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14	8	14
14	Hemel Hempstead	11	3	5	3	10	10	14
15	Folkestone Invicta	11	3	4	4	16	13	13
16	Maidenhead Utd	11	3	4	4	12	12	13
17	Horsham	10	2	5	3	10	12	11
18	Farnborough	10	3	2	5	8	17	11
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16	24	10
20	Braintree Town	11	3	1	7	18	27	10
21	AFC Totton	11	3	1	7	8	21	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
24	Slough	11	1	1	9	11	29	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Folkestone Invicta	AFC Totton
Weston Super Mare	1-1 D	1-3 L
Ebbsfleet United	0-1 L	0-5 L
Slough	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Folkestone Invicta (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Folkestone Invicta

DDWWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Weston Super Mare England National League South	1-0	1-1	0	1	D
06/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
26/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
12/09	Farnham England National League South	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
08/09	Horsham England National League South	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Torquay England National League South	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
31/08	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/08	Slough England National League South	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
22/08	Chelmsford England National League South	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
18/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

AFC Totton

WLLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-5	3	5	L
10/10	Walton & Hersham England National League South	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
26/09	Dover England National League South	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
12/09	Slough England National League South	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
08/09	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
05/09	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	3-0	4-1	7	7	W
31/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
29/08	Chesham England National League South	0-3	0-4	6	4	L
18/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Billericay Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Totton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Folkestone Invicta win (55%). Probabilities: Folkestone Invicta 55%, draw 25%, AFC Totton 20%.

How many goals are expected in Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Totton?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Folkestone Invicta 1.76 · AFC Totton 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Totton?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.