Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 18/09, 17:45

Prediction: FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II

Team pages: FK BE1 · FK Transinvest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

FK BE12.2

FK Transinvest II1.04

1X2

63% 20% 17%

FK BE1 Draw FK Transinvest II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK BE1 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWWWW

FK Transinvest II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

FK BE1 1–0 FK Transinvest II (1 last)

FK Transinvest II0-2FK BE1

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK BE1 1560 · FK Transinvest II 1434

	FK BE1	Draw	FK Transinvest II
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	19%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1560 vs 1434).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK BE1	FK Transinvest II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:38 +6’	1.40	4.75	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK BE1 1–0–0 FK Transinvest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Transinvest II	0-2 HT 0-0	FK BE1

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	23	20	1	2	61	12	61
2	FK Babrungas	24	18	4	2	42	11	58
3	FK BE1	23	15	2	6	41	24	47
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	24	14	2	8	32	28	44
5	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	24	13	4	7	38	31	43
6	BFA Vilnius	24	13	3	8	38	34	42
7	FK Tauras	24	12	4	8	40	29	40
8	DFK Dainava	23	10	7	6	33	23	37
9	FK Atmosfera	23	8	5	10	36	32	29
10	Lietava Jonava	24	7	6	11	26	30	27
11	FC Hegelmann II	24	7	1	16	30	55	22
12	FK Garliava	23	6	4	13	25	27	22
13	FK Transinvest II	24	6	3	15	28	56	21
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	23	6	1	16	20	36	19
15	FK Ekranas	24	4	2	18	23	52	14
16	FK Siauliai II	24	3	5	16	21	54	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK BE1	FK Transinvest II
FC Hegelmann II	2-1 W	4-1 W
FK Minija	0-3 L	0-3 L
Lietava Jonava	0-2 L	1-2 L
BFA Vilnius	1-3 L	2-4 L
FK Atmosfera	1-0 W	2-0 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK BE1

WWLLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
04/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
29/08	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
21/08	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
08/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
31/07	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
26/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-3	9	4	L
01/07	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
26/06	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	10	1	W

FK Transinvest II

LDLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
05/09	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
29/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
25/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-3	3-4	9	7	L
14/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
03/08	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/07	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
20/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
27/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK BE1 win (63%). Probabilities: FK BE1 63%, draw 20%, FK Transinvest II 17%.

How many goals are expected in FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II?

The model expects 3.24 goals (FK BE1 2.2 · FK Transinvest II 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK BE1 vs FK Transinvest II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.