Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: FK Ekranas vs FK Siauliai II

Team pages: FK Ekranas · FK Siauliai II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

FK Ekranas1.66

FK Siauliai II1.53

1X2

40% 25% 35%

FK Ekranas Draw FK Siauliai II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ekranas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLWL

FK Siauliai II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLWLLL

Head-to-head

FK Ekranas 3–1–2 FK Siauliai II (6 last)

FK Siauliai II2-2FK Ekranas
FK Siauliai II1-4FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas4-1FK Siauliai II
FK Ekranas2-4FK Siauliai II
FK Siauliai II0-2FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas2-3FK Siauliai II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1421 · FK Siauliai II 1427

	FK Ekranas	Draw	FK Siauliai II
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Ekranas: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ekranas	FK Siauliai II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.6	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.4	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.70

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +7’	2.20	3.70	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 3–1–2 FK Siauliai II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Ekranas
15/08/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	1-4 HT 0-2	FK Ekranas
18/04/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	4-1 HT 3-0	FK Siauliai II
08/11/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-4 HT 1-1	FK Siauliai II
22/06/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Siauliai II	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Ekranas
28/10/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	2-3 HT 1-1	FK Siauliai II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Minija	23	20	1	2	61	12	61
2	FK Babrungas	24	18	4	2	42	11	58
3	FK BE1	23	15	2	6	41	24	47
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	24	14	2	8	32	28	44
5	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	24	13	4	7	38	31	43
6	BFA Vilnius	24	13	3	8	38	34	42
7	FK Tauras	24	12	4	8	40	29	40
8	DFK Dainava	23	10	7	6	33	23	37
9	FK Atmosfera	23	8	5	10	36	32	29
10	Lietava Jonava	24	7	6	11	26	30	27
11	FC Hegelmann II	24	7	1	16	30	55	22
12	FK Garliava	23	6	4	13	25	27	22
13	FK Transinvest II	24	6	3	15	28	56	21
14	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	23	6	1	16	20	36	19
15	FK Ekranas	24	4	2	18	23	52	14
16	FK Siauliai II	24	3	5	16	21	54	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ekranas	FK Siauliai II
FK BE1	0-5 L	0-2 L
FC Hegelmann II	2-3 L	1-5 L
FK Minija	0-5 L	1-2 L
Lietava Jonava	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-1 D	1-4 L
BFA Vilnius	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Siauliai II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ekranas

LLLDWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	12	9	W
29/08	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	3	2	L
21/08	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
14/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-5	2	3	L
07/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L

FK Siauliai II

LLLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
04/09	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-4	1-5	3	2	L
28/08	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
21/08	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/08	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-4	12	3	L
08/08	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
02/08	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
25/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	11	4	L
19/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
01/07	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ekranas vs FK Siauliai II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Ekranas win (40%). Probabilities: FK Ekranas 40%, draw 25%, FK Siauliai II 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ekranas vs FK Siauliai II?

The model expects 3.19 goals (FK Ekranas 1.66 · FK Siauliai II 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ekranas vs FK Siauliai II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.