Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1.05

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1.81

1X2

21% 25% 54%

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Draw Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLWLL

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDDLWDDW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0–1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (2 last)

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1-1Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik3-0Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1441 · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1522

	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Draw	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	21%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (rating 1441 vs 1522).
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.75

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +20’	4.20	3.75	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0–1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
20/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
3	Sport Club Tira	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
4	Beitar Nahariya	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
8	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
10	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
11	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
12	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
13	Hapoel Beit Shean	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	2	0	0	2	0	5	0
18	FC Tzeirey Tamra	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2-1 W	0-0 D
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3-1 W	5-3 W
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	0-0 D	3-1 W
Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	4-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

LDWLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
22/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
13/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	10	L
06/02	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	–	2-2	–	–	D
30/01	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
27/01	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
16/01	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
09/01	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	2-2	4-5	5	6	L

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

DDWDDLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	3-1	4	2	W
05/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	2-2	7	7	D
26/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
21/02	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	5-3	2	3	W
12/02	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
06/02	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
31/01	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-2	6	3	D
24/01	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/01	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
10/01	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik win (54%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 21%, draw 25%, Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 54%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1.05 · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.