Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 23/09, 19:20
Prediction: Sport Club Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Team pages: Sport Club Tira · Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Sport Club Tira1.84
Hapoel Bnei Musmus0.99
1X2
Sport Club Tira
Draw
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Club Tira
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sport Club Tira
1–1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
(2 last)
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus2-1Sport Club Tira
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus1-3Sport Club Tira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sport Club Tira 1574 · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1521
| Sport Club Tira | Draw | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Club Tira (rating 1574 vs 1521).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Club Tira | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Club Tira 1–0–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sport Club Tira |
| 20/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sport Club Tira |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironi Nesher | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sport Club Tira | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 14 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sport Club Tira | Hapoel Bnei Musmus |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ironi Nesher | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Club Tira (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Club Tira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/02 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 13/02 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 06/02 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/01 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/01 | Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/01 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 21/02 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/01 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/01 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/01 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Club Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Club Tira win (56%). Probabilities: Sport Club Tira 56%, draw 24%, Hapoel Bnei Musmus 19%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Club Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Sport Club Tira 1.84 · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Club Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.