Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Team pages: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1.41

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1.54

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Draw Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLWDD

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDDLWW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (2 last)

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad2-1Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1-4Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1465 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1533

	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (rating 1465 vs 1533).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:36 +8’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1–0–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
28/10/25 Israel League Cup	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1-4 HT 0-1	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
3	Sport Club Tira	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
4	Beitar Nahariya	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
8	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
10	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
11	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
12	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
13	Hapoel Beit Shean	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	2	0	0	2	0	5	0
18	FC Tzeirey Tamra	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3-5 L	0-0 D
Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1-3 L	1-2 L
Sport Club Tira	0-3 L	0-0 D
Hapoel Tirat Karmel	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

WLLDLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
05/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
27/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
21/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	3-5	8	3	L
13/02	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
06/02	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	1-4	8	9	L
31/01	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
27/01	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
16/01	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
11/01	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	6	7	W

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

DDWLLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	3-0	0	8	W
04/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
19/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
05/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
30/01	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	2-3	2	6	L
23/01	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/01	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
09/01	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	3-2	3-3	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win (40%). Probabilities: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 34%, draw 26%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 40%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1.41 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.54), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.