Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 23/09, 15:30

Prediction: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Team pages: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed1.57

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1.3

1X2

43% 27% 31%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Draw Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLLLL

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba (3 last)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0-0Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Hapoel Ironi Arraba3-1Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed1-2Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1431 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1442

	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Ironi Arraba: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:46 +15’	2.10	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
05/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
29/11/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1-2 HT 0-1	Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	3	3	0	0	13	2	9
2	Beitar Nahariya	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
3	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3	2	1	0	9	3	7
4	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
5	Sport Club Tira	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3	1	2	0	7	6	5
7	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
8	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
10	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
11	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	3	0	2	1	3	5	2
12	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
13	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3	0	1	2	1	5	1
15	Hapoel Beit Shean	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	3	0	0	3	3	8	0
17	FC Tzeirey Tamra	3	0	0	3	3	12	0
18	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1-3 L	0-4 L
Sport Club Tira	0-1 L	0-4 L
Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm	1-2 L	0-3 L
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

DLLWDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	2-4	4	7	L
09/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	2	L
04/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
20/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
13/02	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
30/01	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
26/01	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-3	9	3	L
20/01	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-6	3	3	L
16/01	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

DWLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
10/09	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	1	7	W
22/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
13/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-3	5	10	L
06/02	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	–	2-2	–	–	D
30/01	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
27/01	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
16/01	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win (43%). Probabilities: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 43%, draw 27%, Hapoel Ironi Arraba 31%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1.57 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.