Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 23/09, 17:00

Prediction: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher

Team pages: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel · Ironi Nesher

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1.44
Ironi Nesher1.51
1X2
35% 26% 38%
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Draw Ironi Nesher
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLDDLWWD
Ironi Nesher 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLDWWW
Head-to-head
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0 Ironi Nesher (1 last)
  • Hapoel Ironi Karmiel4-0Ironi Nesher
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1539 · Ironi Nesher 1542
Hapoel Ironi KarmielDrawIroni Nesher
Our model35%27%38%
Market35%26%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hapoel Ironi KarmielIroni Nesher
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.92.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.22.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.25.5 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 100 Ironi Nesher

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/01/26
Israel Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel4-0
HT 2-0
Ironi Nesher

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ironi Nesher 3300 1329
2 Beitar Nahariya 3300 519
3 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 3210 937
4 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3210 727
5 Sport Club Tira 3210 617
6 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3120 765
7 Hapoel Migdal Haemeq 2110 644
8 Hapoel Nof HaGalil 2110 324
9 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 2101 423
10 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 3030 223
11 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 3021 352
12 Maccabi Umm al-Fahm 3021 262
13 Hapoel Bnei Jat United 3012 261
14 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 3012 151
15 Hapoel Beit Shean 0000 000
16 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 3003 380
17 FC Tzeirey Tamra 3003 3120
18 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 3003 090

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHapoel Ironi KarmielIroni Nesher
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 3-0 W 1-3 L
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 L 3-1 W
Sport Club Tira 0-0 D 2-0 W
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1-1 D 1-1 D
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ironi Nesher (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

DWLLDDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 1-1 45 D
10/09 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israel Liga Alef North
2-0 3-0 08 W
04/09 Hapoel Bnei Jat United
Israel Liga Alef North
1-1 3-1 34 W
27/02 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Israel Liga Alef North
0-2 1-2 77 L
19/02 Sport Club Tira
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 0-0 45 D
13/02 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 1-1 53 D
05/02 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 0-1 114 L
30/01 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israel Liga Alef North
1-2 2-3 26 L
23/01 Hapoel Beit Shean
Israel Liga Alef North
1-0 1-0 15 W
16/01 Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 0-0 53 D

Ironi Nesher

LWDWWLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Maccabi Umm al-Fahm
Israel Liga Alef North
2-0 5-1 64 W
09/09 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Israel Liga Alef North
2-0 2-0 38 W
04/09 FC Tzeirey Tamra
Israel Liga Alef North
2-0 6-1 73 W
27/02 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 0-0 78 D
19/02 Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
Israel Liga Alef North
0-2 0-3 29 L
13/02 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 3-1 110 W
06/02 Sport Club Tira
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 2-0 34 W
30/01 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Israel Liga Alef North
0-1 1-1 42 D
23/01 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israel Liga Alef North
0-0 2-1 26 W
16/01 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israel Liga Alef North
1-2 1-3 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ironi Nesher win (38%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 35%, draw 26%, Ironi Nesher 38%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.44 · Ironi Nesher 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.