Prediction: Torque vs Penarol
- Penarol1-0Torque
- Penarol3-1Torque
- Torque0-2Penarol
- Penarol2-1Torque
- Penarol1-3Torque
- Torque2-3Penarol
| Torque | Draw | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Penarol (rating 1564 vs 1619).
- H2H favours Penarol: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torque | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 1–0–5 Penarol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 Uruguay Cup | Penarol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Torque |
| 08/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Penarol | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Torque |
| 09/11/25 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Penarol |
| 18/05/25 Uruguay Apertura | Penarol | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Torque |
| 18/04/24 Uruguay Cup | Penarol | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Torque |
| 19/10/23 Uruguay Clausura | Torque | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Penarol |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torque | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Defensor Sporting | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Cerro | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Penarol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/11 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torque vs Penarol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (36%). Probabilities: Torque 36%, draw 28%, Penarol 36%.
How many goals are expected in Torque vs Penarol?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Torque 1.32 · Penarol 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torque vs Penarol?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.