Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional
Team pages: LDU Portoviejo · El Nacional
- El Nacional0-2LDU Portoviejo
- El Nacional0-1LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo2-1El Nacional
- El Nacional1-1LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo2-0El Nacional
- El Nacional1-2LDU Portoviejo
| LDU Portoviejo | Draw | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 30% | 14% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LDU Portoviejo (rating 1533 vs 1446).
- H2H favours LDU Portoviejo: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Portoviejo | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/63/13% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 5–1–0 El Nacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 0-2 HT 0-1 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 31/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 0-1 HT 0-1 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 28/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | El Nacional |
| 01/09/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 1-1 HT 0-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 14/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 2-0 | El Nacional |
| 03/06/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 1-2 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vargas Torres | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | Gualaceo SC | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | LDU Portoviejo | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 24 | 36 |
| 4 | Cumbaya | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 12 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 49 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Portoviejo | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Cumbaya | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: LDU Portoviejo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (57%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 57%, draw 27%, El Nacional 16%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
The model expects 1.92 goals (LDU Portoviejo 1.36 · El Nacional 0.56), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.