Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs

Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · CD Cuenca Jrs

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Vinotinto Ecuador1.58
CD Cuenca Jrs0.66
1X2
60% 24% 16%
Vinotinto Ecuador Draw CD Cuenca Jrs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Vinotinto Ecuador 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWWWWD
CD Cuenca Jrs 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Vinotinto Ecuador 3–0 CD Cuenca Jrs (3 last)
  • CD Cuenca Jrs0-2Vinotinto Ecuador
  • CD Cuenca Jrs0-2Vinotinto Ecuador
  • Vinotinto Ecuador3-0CD Cuenca Jrs
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vinotinto Ecuador 1564 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1428
Vinotinto EcuadorDrawCD Cuenca Jrs
Our model58%27%14%
Market61%22%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vinotinto Ecuador (rating 1564 vs 1428).
  • H2H favours Vinotinto Ecuador: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vinotinto EcuadorCD Cuenca Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.50.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/56/11%11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.41 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.15.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 3–0–0 CD Cuenca Jrs

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/09/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Cuenca Jrs0-2
HT 0-2
Vinotinto Ecuador
08/08/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Cuenca Jrs0-2
HT 0-1
Vinotinto Ecuador
14/05/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Vinotinto Ecuador3-0
HT 0-0
CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico FC Guayaquil 2812133 341849
2 Vinotinto Ecuador 281387 362147
3 Independiente Juniors 2812115 352347
4 Club 9 de Octubre 2811125 312045
5 CD Cuenca Jrs 2810810 223138
6 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 287129 263233

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVinotinto EcuadorCD Cuenca Jrs
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0-0 D 1-0 W
Independiente Juniors 3-2 W 0-2 L
Club 9 de Octubre 1-0 W 1-1 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vinotinto Ecuador (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vinotinto Ecuador

LWDDWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 56 D
24/09 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-1 3-2 18 W
17/09 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 44 W
11/09 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-0 2-0 57 W
03/09 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 4-2 106 W
27/08 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 03 W
22/08 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
– 0-0 –– D
13/08 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 86 D
08/08 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 2-0 62 W
29/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 104 L

CD Cuenca Jrs

DLWLDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-2 05 L
24/09 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-2 0-2 33 L
16/09 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 65 W
11/09 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-2 0-2 37 L
04/09 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 24 L
28/08 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-1 19 D
20/08 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-3 17 L
14/08 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
– 1-0 –– W
08/08 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-2 12 L
30/07 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (60%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 60%, draw 24%, CD Cuenca Jrs 16%.

How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.58 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.