Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs
Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · CD Cuenca Jrs
- CD Cuenca Jrs0-2Vinotinto Ecuador
- CD Cuenca Jrs0-2Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador3-0CD Cuenca Jrs
| Vinotinto Ecuador | Draw | CD Cuenca Jrs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vinotinto Ecuador (rating 1564 vs 1428).
- H2H favours Vinotinto Ecuador: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vinotinto Ecuador | CD Cuenca Jrs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 11/22/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 3–0–0 CD Cuenca Jrs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 08/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 14/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 3-0 HT 0-0 | CD Cuenca Jrs |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Independiente Juniors | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 33 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vinotinto Ecuador | CD Cuenca Jrs |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Juniors | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vinotinto Ecuador (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vinotinto Ecuador
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 27/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
CD Cuenca Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 24/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (60%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 60%, draw 24%, CD Cuenca Jrs 16%.
How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.58 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

