Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 08/10, 19:00
Prediction: Independiente Juniors vs Club 9 de Octubre
Team pages: Independiente Juniors · Club 9 de Octubre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Independiente Juniors1.14
Club 9 de Octubre0.91
1X2
Independiente Juniors
Draw
Club 9 de Octubre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Juniors
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Club 9 de Octubre
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Juniors
2–2–2
Club 9 de Octubre
(6 last)
- Club 9 de Octubre3-1Independiente Juniors
- Club 9 de Octubre2-2Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors0-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-1Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors2-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Independiente Juniors1-0Club 9 de Octubre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Juniors 1522 · Club 9 de Octubre 1499
| Independiente Juniors | Draw | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Juniors | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Juniors 2–2–2 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Independiente Juniors |
| 15/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-2 | Independiente Juniors |
| 25/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 08/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Independiente Juniors |
| 09/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 17/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Independiente Juniors | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 39 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 33 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Juniors | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| El Nacional | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Juniors (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/09 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Juniors vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Juniors win (40%). Probabilities: Independiente Juniors 40%, draw 32%, Club 9 de Octubre 28%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Juniors vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Independiente Juniors 1.14 · Club 9 de Octubre 0.91), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Juniors vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.