Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 08/10, 21:15

Prediction: Atletico FC Guayaquil vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Team pages: Atletico FC Guayaquil · San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Atletico FC Guayaquil1.74

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.67

1X2

63% 24% 13%

Atletico FC Guayaquil Draw San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico FC Guayaquil 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDWDWW

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Atletico FC Guayaquil 2–1–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi (3 last)

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-3Atletico FC Guayaquil
Atletico FC Guayaquil4-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Atletico FC Guayaquil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico FC Guayaquil 1556 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1466

	Atletico FC Guayaquil	Draw	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model	62%	25%	13%
Market	63%	23%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico FC Guayaquil (rating 1556 vs 1466).
H2H favours Atletico FC Guayaquil: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico FC Guayaquil	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.2	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.90

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +17’	1.42	3.90	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico FC Guayaquil 2–1–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	0-3 HT 0-1	Atletico FC Guayaquil
16/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Atletico FC Guayaquil	4-1 HT 1-1	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
29/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 1-1	Atletico FC Guayaquil

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico FC Guayaquil	28	12	13	3	34	18	49
2	Vinotinto Ecuador	28	13	8	7	36	21	47
3	Independiente Juniors	28	12	11	5	35	23	47
4	Club 9 de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31	20	45
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	28	10	8	10	22	31	38
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	28	7	12	9	26	32	33

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico FC Guayaquil	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Club 9 de Octubre	1-0 W	0-3 L
CD Cuenca Jrs	2-0 W	0-1 L
Independiente Juniors	1-1 D	0-0 D
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-1 L	0-0 D
Gualaceo SC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico FC Guayaquil

WLDWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
24/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	0	8	D
10/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
04/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-2	4	13	D
27/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
20/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	3-0	3-0	1	3	W
15/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
06/08	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
30/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

WWWDDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
26/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
16/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-4	2	6	L
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico FC Guayaquil vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico FC Guayaquil win (63%). Probabilities: Atletico FC Guayaquil 63%, draw 24%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 13%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico FC Guayaquil vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Atletico FC Guayaquil 1.74 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.67), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico FC Guayaquil vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.