Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs JFK Ventspils

Team pages: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II · JFK Ventspils

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1.88

JFK Ventspils1.65

1X2

43% 24% 33%

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Draw JFK Ventspils

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLLW

JFK Ventspils 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLDLLW

Head-to-head

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1–3–2 JFK Ventspils (6 last)

JFK Ventspils2-2FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
JFK Ventspils4-1FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-3JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils0-1FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-1JFK Ventspils
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-1JFK Ventspils

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JFK Ventspils: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	JFK Ventspils
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 2.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.94

Under 3.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.83 → 1.86▼	Pinn 1.86
X	3.51 → 3.89▲	Pinn 3.89
2	2.05 → 3.01▲	Pinn 3.01

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +45’	2.83	3.51	2.05
06:20 +51’	2.25▼	3.73▲	2.43▲
08:11 +29’	2.09▼	3.85▲	2.59▲
10:06 +2’	1.86▼	3.89▲	3.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1–3–2 JFK Ventspils

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	2-2 HT 1-2	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
22/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	4-1 HT 2-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
21/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-3 HT 0-1	JFK Ventspils
02/08/24 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
06/04/24 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-1 HT 0-1	JFK Ventspils
30/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-1 HT 1-0	JFK Ventspils

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	21	17	3	1	89	17	54
2	Valmiera FC	21	16	3	2	60	23	51
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	21	15	4	2	43	25	49
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	21	14	5	2	50	23	47
5	JDFS Alberts	21	11	4	6	42	31	37
6	Marupes SC	21	9	2	10	34	32	29
7	Skanstes SK	21	8	2	11	43	42	26
8	Riga FC II	21	7	5	9	29	37	26
9	SK Super Nova II	21	6	7	8	28	32	25
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	21	4	4	13	29	57	16
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	20	4	3	13	26	60	15
12	RFS II	21	4	3	14	34	62	15
13	JFK Ventspils	20	3	6	11	21	40	15
14	Rezeknes FA	21	1	3	17	17	64	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	JFK Ventspils
Rezeknes FA	3-1 W	1-1 D
Skanstes SK	2-6 L	1-0 W
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	2-4 L	1-1 D
JDFS Alberts	1-1 D	1-3 L
Metta/LU	0-9 L	0-7 L
RFS II	2-0 W	1-4 L
Riga FC II	0-2 L	1-1 D
SK Super Nova II	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JFK Ventspils (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

LLWLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
30/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-5	2-6	4	2	L
09/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
03/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
27/07	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-6	0-9	0	0	L
20/07	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/07	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
27/06	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L

JFK Ventspils

DWLDLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-7	2	2	L
05/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
29/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
02/08	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
25/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/07	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-3	4	2	L
11/07	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	3-0	1	4	W
04/07	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs JFK Ventspils?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tukums 2000/TSS II win (43%). Probabilities: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 43%, draw 24%, JFK Ventspils 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs JFK Ventspils?

The model expects 3.53 goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1.88 · JFK Ventspils 1.65), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs JFK Ventspils?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.