Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 20/09, 17:00
Prediction: Marupes SC vs Riga FC II
Team pages: Marupes SC · Riga FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Marupes SC1.76
Riga FC II1.52
1X2
Marupes SC
Draw
Riga FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Marupes SC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Riga FC II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marupes SC
2–1–2
Riga FC II
(5 last)
- Riga FC II0-4Marupes SC
- Riga FC II1-0Marupes SC
- Marupes SC2-0Riga FC II
- Riga FC II2-1Marupes SC
- Marupes SC0-0Riga FC II
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marupes SC | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marupes SC 2–1–2 Riga FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Marupes SC |
| 20/09/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marupes SC |
| 11/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Marupes SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Riga FC II |
| 10/11/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Marupes SC |
| 27/07/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Marupes SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Riga FC II |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 49 |
| 4 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 47 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 37 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Skanstes SK | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 26 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 25 |
| 9 | SK Super Nova II | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 57 | 16 |
| 11 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 60 | 15 |
| 12 | RFS II | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 62 | 15 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 12 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marupes SC | Riga FC II |
|---|---|---|
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| JDFS Alberts | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Valmiera FC | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| SK Super Nova II | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Saldus SS/Leevon | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Skanstes SK | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Metta/LU | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Riga FC II (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marupes SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Riga FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/08 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marupes SC vs Riga FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marupes SC win (43%). Probabilities: Marupes SC 43%, draw 25%, Riga FC II 32%.
How many goals are expected in Marupes SC vs Riga FC II?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Marupes SC 1.76 · Riga FC II 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Marupes SC vs Riga FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.