Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Rezeknes FA

Team pages: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II · Rezeknes FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II2.23

Rezeknes FA1.66

1X2

50% 22% 28%

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Draw Rezeknes FA

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLLLL

Rezeknes FA 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2–2–2 Rezeknes FA (6 last)

Rezeknes FA1-4FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-2Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA1-1FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-1Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA2-1FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Rezeknes FA0-7FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	Rezeknes FA
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.7	0.9 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 2.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	0.8 / 1.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.92

Under 3.751.79

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	3.38 → 3.38	Pinn 3.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +85’	1.75	3.88	3.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2–2–2 Rezeknes FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-4 HT 1-1	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
13/09/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-2 HT 1-1	Rezeknes FA
03/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
10/11/24 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-1 HT 0-0	Rezeknes FA
26/07/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
29/10/23 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	0-7 HT 0-2	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera FC	20	16	3	1	58	19	51
2	Metta/LU	20	16	3	1	86	16	51
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	20	14	4	2	37	22	46
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	20	13	5	2	46	21	44
5	JDFS Alberts	20	11	4	5	41	28	37
6	Marupes SC	20	9	1	10	34	32	28
7	Skanstes SK	20	8	2	10	43	41	26
8	Riga FC II	20	7	4	9	29	37	25
9	SK Super Nova II	20	6	7	7	28	30	25
10	RFS II	20	4	3	13	31	56	15
11	FK Smiltene/BJSS	20	3	4	13	27	57	13
12	JFK Ventspils	19	2	6	11	20	40	12
13	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	19	3	3	13	23	59	12
14	Rezeknes FA	20	1	3	16	16	61	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	Rezeknes FA
Marupes SC	0-5 L	1-2 L
Saldus SS/Leevon	0-3 L	1-2 L
Skanstes SK	2-6 L	1-5 L
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	2-4 L	0-5 L
JDFS Alberts	1-1 D	2-4 L
Metta/LU	0-9 L	0-2 L
SK Super Nova II	1-3 L	2-2 D
Valmiera FC	1-4 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Rezeknes FA (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

LLLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
30/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-5	2-6	4	2	L
09/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
03/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
27/07	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-6	0-9	0	0	L
20/07	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/07	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
27/06	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
14/06	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-4	9	1	L

Rezeknes FA

LDLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-5	0	5	L
30/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-6	–	–	L
23/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
01/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
25/07	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/07	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	10	L
04/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Rezeknes FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tukums 2000/TSS II win (50%). Probabilities: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 50%, draw 22%, Rezeknes FA 28%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Rezeknes FA?

The model expects 3.9 goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2.23 · Rezeknes FA 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Rezeknes FA?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.