Prediction: Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci
Team pages: Alianza Universidad · Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci3-1Alianza Universidad
- Carlos Manucci1-1Alianza Universidad
- Alianza Universidad0-1Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci0-0Alianza Universidad
- Alianza Universidad3-0Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci2-2Alianza Universidad
| Alianza Universidad | Draw | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Manucci (rating 1467 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Carlos Manucci: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza Universidad | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Universidad 1–3–2 Carlos Manucci
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 Peru Liga 2 | Carlos Manucci | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Alianza Universidad |
| 18/09/21 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alianza Universidad |
| 19/08/20 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Universidad | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 29/09/19 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza Universidad |
| 14/04/19 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Universidad | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 15/12/18 Peru Play-Offs | Carlos Manucci | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Alianza Universidad |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Manucci | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | CD Universidad San Martin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Bentin Tacna Heroica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Alianza Universidad | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza Universidad | Carlos Manucci |
|---|---|---|
| CD Universidad San Martin | 1-2 L | 7-0 W |
| Bentin Tacna Heroica | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Carlos Manucci (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza Universidad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 06/10 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/09 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Carlos Manucci
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 08/10 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Universidad win (38%). Probabilities: Alianza Universidad 38%, draw 29%, Carlos Manucci 34%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Alianza Universidad 1.28 · Carlos Manucci 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

