Football · Peru Liga 2 · 17/10, 21:00

Prediction: Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci

Team pages: Alianza Universidad · Carlos Manucci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Alianza Universidad1.28
Carlos Manucci1.2
1X2
38% 29% 34%
Alianza Universidad Draw Carlos Manucci
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza Universidad 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
LDDWLDDDLL
Carlos Manucci 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWWDW
Head-to-head
Alianza Universidad 1–3–2 Carlos Manucci (6 last)
  • Carlos Manucci3-1Alianza Universidad
  • Carlos Manucci1-1Alianza Universidad
  • Alianza Universidad0-1Carlos Manucci
  • Carlos Manucci0-0Alianza Universidad
  • Alianza Universidad3-0Carlos Manucci
  • Carlos Manucci2-2Alianza Universidad
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza Universidad 1467 · Carlos Manucci 1562
Alianza UniversidadDrawCarlos Manucci
Our model37%30%33%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Manucci (rating 1467 vs 1562).
  • H2H favours Carlos Manucci: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alianza UniversidadCarlos Manucci
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.62.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.14.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Universidad 1–3–2 Carlos Manucci

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/10/26
Peru Liga 2
Carlos Manucci3-1
HT 2-0
Alianza Universidad
18/09/21
Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Universidad
19/08/20
Peru Liga 1
Alianza Universidad0-1
HT 0-0
Carlos Manucci
29/09/19
Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad
14/04/19
Peru Liga 1
Alianza Universidad3-0
HT 1-0
Carlos Manucci
15/12/18
Peru Play-Offs
Carlos Manucci2-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Universidad

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Carlos Manucci 3210 1019
2 CD Universidad San Martin 3201 486
3 Bentin Tacna Heroica 3021 243
4 Alianza Universidad 3012 471

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianza UniversidadCarlos Manucci
CD Universidad San Martin 1-2 L 7-0 W
Bentin Tacna Heroica 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Carlos Manucci (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza Universidad

LDDWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-3 48 L
06/10 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-2 68 L
27/09 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 54 D
12/09 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
06/09 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 45 D
29/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-3 85 L
24/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 56 W
17/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-3 25 D
31/07 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 36 D
24/07 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 –– L

Carlos Manucci

WLWLDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
2-0 3-1 98 W
08/10 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 05 D
26/09 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
3-0 7-0 52 W
07/09 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-1 4-2 53 W
29/08 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 46 W
23/08 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
16/08 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 47 L
02/08 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 –– W
25/07 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 32 L
19/07 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 78 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Universidad win (38%). Probabilities: Alianza Universidad 38%, draw 29%, Carlos Manucci 34%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Alianza Universidad 1.28 · Carlos Manucci 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Manucci?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.