Football · Peru Liga 2 · 25/10, 19:00

Prediction: Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC

Team pages: Sport Huancayo II · Comerciantes FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Sport Huancayo II1.5
Comerciantes FC1.09
1X2
45% 29% 26%
Sport Huancayo II Draw Comerciantes FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Huancayo II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWWLDW
Comerciantes FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDDLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Sport Huancayo II 1–1–1 Comerciantes FC (3 last)
  • Comerciantes FC0-1Sport Huancayo II
  • Sport Huancayo II1-1Comerciantes FC
  • Comerciantes FC3-2Sport Huancayo II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Huancayo II 1539 · Comerciantes FC 1477
Sport Huancayo IIDrawComerciantes FC
Our model45%28%26%
Market45%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Huancayo II (rating 1539 vs 1477).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sport Huancayo IIComerciantes FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.51.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.10.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 44 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.83.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Huancayo II 1–1–1 Comerciantes FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/09/26
Peru Liga 2
Comerciantes FC0-1
HT 0-1
Sport Huancayo II
18/07/26
Peru Liga 2
Sport Huancayo II1-1
HT 0-0
Comerciantes FC
29/03/26
Peru Liga 2
Comerciantes FC3-2
HT 1-1
Sport Huancayo II

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Ada Jaen 5221 428
2 Deportivo Llacuabamba 5131 637
3 Sport Huancayo II 4211 327
4 Comerciantes FC 4103 175

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSport Huancayo IIComerciantes FC
Deportivo Llacuabamba 2-1 W 0-4 L
Club Ada Jaen 0-1 L 1-0 W
Ayacucho FC 2-0 W 5-1 W
Deportivo Binacional 7-0 W 0-1 L
Union Minas 1-2 L 2-2 D
CD Estudiantil CNI 1-0 W 2-2 D
Bentin Tacna Heroica 0-1 L 2-2 D
Santos FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Huancayo II

WLWLWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 –– W
12/10 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 54 D
07/10 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 43 L
25/09 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 43 W
12/09 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 34 W
04/09 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
4-0 7-0 74 W
30/08 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-2 48 L
21/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 45 W
16/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 14 L
08/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 –– W

Comerciantes FC

LDDDLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 –– W
11/10 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-2 25 L
07/10 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-4 –– L
25/09 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 103 L
04/09 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 5-1 76 W
29/08 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 –– L
22/08 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-2 72 D
15/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 62 D
09/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 –– D
01/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Huancayo II win (45%). Probabilities: Sport Huancayo II 45%, draw 29%, Comerciantes FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Sport Huancayo II 1.5 · Comerciantes FC 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.