Football · Peru Liga 2 · 25/10, 21:15

Prediction: Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Universidad

Team pages: Bentin Tacna Heroica · Alianza Universidad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Bentin Tacna Heroica1.45
Alianza Universidad0.86
1X2
51% 28% 22%
Bentin Tacna Heroica Draw Alianza Universidad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bentin Tacna Heroica 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDDDLL
Alianza Universidad 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLDDDLLD
Head-to-head
Bentin Tacna Heroica 0–2–1 Alianza Universidad (3 last)
  • Alianza Universidad2-2Bentin Tacna Heroica
  • Alianza Universidad1-0Bentin Tacna Heroica
  • Bentin Tacna Heroica0-0Alianza Universidad
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1471 · Alianza Universidad 1475
Bentin Tacna HeroicaDrawAlianza Universidad
Our model50%29%21%
Market51%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bentin Tacna HeroicaAlianza Universidad
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.72.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.35.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentin Tacna Heroica 0–2–1 Alianza Universidad

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/09/26
Peru Liga 2
Alianza Universidad2-2
HT 2-2
Bentin Tacna Heroica
24/08/26
Peru Liga 2
Alianza Universidad1-0
HT 0-0
Bentin Tacna Heroica
09/05/26
Peru Liga 2
Bentin Tacna Heroica0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Carlos Manucci 4220 11210
2 CD Universidad San Martin 4301 699
3 Bentin Tacna Heroica 4022 363
4 Alianza Universidad 4022 582

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBentin Tacna HeroicaAlianza Universidad
CD Universidad San Martin 1-2 L 1-2 L
Carlos Manucci 0-0 D 1-1 D
CD Estudiantil CNI 1-1 D 0-3 L
Santos FC 3-1 W 3-3 D
Sport Huancayo II 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bentin Tacna Heroica (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentin Tacna Heroica

LDWLWDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-2 –– L
11/10 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 41 L
08/10 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 95 D
27/09 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 44 D
12/09 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 75 D
30/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 47 W
24/08 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 56 L
16/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 74 W
09/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 –– D
02/08 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 0-3 –– L

Alianza Universidad

DDWLDDDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-1 76 D
13/10 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-3 48 L
06/10 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-2 68 L
27/09 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
2-2 2-2 54 D
12/09 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 –– D
06/09 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 45 D
29/08 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-3 85 L
24/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 56 W
17/08 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-3 25 D
31/07 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Universidad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bentin Tacna Heroica win (51%). Probabilities: Bentin Tacna Heroica 51%, draw 28%, Alianza Universidad 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Universidad?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Bentin Tacna Heroica 1.45 · Alianza Universidad 0.86), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Universidad?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.